SpaceX is the main catalyst: Goldman Sachs’ $322 billion revenue forecast and the June 12 IPO sparked massive Reddit engagement.
Musk’s “generational founder” status unites the thesis: Retail sees SpaceX and Tesla as two sides of the same AI-infrastructure coin.
Valuation anxiety persists: Some value-oriented traders question whether SpaceX’s $1.75-2 trillion price tag leaves any margin of safety.
On Thursday, June 4th, ![]()
The SpaceX IPO Gravity Well
Retail investors on r/stocks were laser-focused on two massive headlines. First, Goldman Sachs published a note expecting SpaceX revenue to explode 100x to $322 billion by 2030, driven by AI hardware rentals. Second, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. IPO—slated for June 12 at a reported $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion valuation—is on the horizon, with retail brokerages like Robinhood and Fidelity securing a 30% allocation.
Reddit user tire_an summarized the excitement: “Goldman says they expect SpaceX revenue to increase dramatically...with the xAI acquisition, SpaceX does have a lot of hardware. I wonder if they could do more things such as the Anthropic deal, renting out hardware.” The post drew 646 upvotes and over 300 comments, many of which explicitly linked SpaceX’s AI-hosting potential back to ![]()
Analyst commentary amplified the crossover thesis. Deepwater Asset Management’s Gene Munster called Elon Musk a “generational founder” and framed SpaceX as a “core tech holding” rather than a speculative bet. On r/stocks, users debated whether the IPO valuation was justified, with many arguing that if SpaceX is worth $2 trillion, ![]()
The Counter-Narrative: Is the Market Efficient?
Not everyone on Reddit was buying the hype. A post on r/stocks titled “Is there still an ‘efficient’ market?” struck a notably bearish tone, pointing to ![]()
Meanwhile, on r/wallstreetbets, one trader confessed that buying 0DTE puts on ![]()
The Net Takeaway
Thursday’s data suggests that ![]()
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