September seasonality warnings from r/stockmarket sparked caution among traders, citing historical S&P 500 weakness.
Options traders in r/options shared a profitable SPY opening range breakout strategy and discussed put spread selling for IRAs.
The Motley Fool published an article encouraging investors to welcome bear markets, reinforcing the long-term buying case for the S&P 500.
On September 1, ![]()
September Seasonality Warning
The most upvoted post came from r/stockmarket, where a user warned that September has historically been the only month in which the S&P 500 falls more often than it rises — finishing lower 55% of the time since 1928. The post advised traders to trail positions, protect profits, and avoid greed. The author noted that the second half of September has averaged a -0.91% return, making it the weakest two-week stretch of the year. Despite the caution, the user maintained a bullish year-end base case of 800 for the S&P 500.
Options Strategies Heat Up
In r/options, two posts added to the SPY conversation. One user shared a systematic Opening Range Breakout strategy for SPY that had been backtested from 2020 to 2026, yielding 576 trades with a 54.2% win rate and a 1.56 profit factor. The author sought feedback before translating the strategy to 0DTE options. Another user discussed regularly selling a put spread from spot to 90% of spot in their S&P 500 index fund IRA to harvest additional equity risk premium, asking if this was a common strategy. The r/options community showed strong engagement, with 27 posts, 205 upvotes, and an average sentiment of 0.63 — indicating a generally positive outlook on SPY-related options plays.
Same-Day News: Bear Markets as Opportunities
The same day, The Motley Fool published an article titled “Most Investors Fear Bear Markets. My 7-Year Track Record Shows They Should Welcome Them.” The author shared their personal track record of buying assets like Bitcoin and the S&P 500 during downturns through dollar-cost averaging, achieving 393% returns on Bitcoin and 94% on the S&P 500 from bear market lows. The piece advocated for automating purchases, maintaining cash reserves, and avoiding emotional decisions during market declines — a message that aligns with the long-term bullish case for ![]()
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